National Hurricane Center eyes Caribbean for potential tropical system next week

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Orlando Weather Forecast PM: October 16, 2025

FOX 35 Storm Team Senior Meteorologist Noah Bergren is tracking nice weekend weather and the growing potential for "Melissa" in the tropics next week.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring a tropical wave for the possibility of tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean. 

A tropical storm or hurricane could form later next week as this wave is expected to move through the Atlantic waters late this weekend. 

Tropical wave could develop in Caribbean

Looking Ahead:

A tropical wave in the Eastern Atlantic Ocean is predicted to reach the waters of the Caribbean Sea by early next week. 

"Where it would go beyond that is very much an open question. For now, we take it day by day and watch trends," said FOX 35 Storm Team Meteorologist Noah Bergren.

Right now, the NHC gives this system a 30% for development over the next seven days.

While most models show development of some tropical system in the Caribbean later next week, others present a greater chance of a depression forming neasr Puerto Rico a week from now.

Closer to Florida, temperatures are quite warm across the Caribbean Sea and that is extremely conducive for tropical development.

Melissa would be the next name up on the list, and while it is too early to speculate much, all of Florida, the Bahamas, and the Caribbean will need to keep close eyes on this potential system about 10–14 days from now.

The Source: This story was written based on information shared by the National Weather Service, the National Hurricane Center, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

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